Название: The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect Автор: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie Издательство: Basic Books Год: 2018 ISBN: 9780465097616 Формат: epub Страниц: 432 Размер: 27,1 mb Язык: English
"Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality--the study of cause and effect--on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Preface INTRODUCTION Mind over Data CHAPTER 1 The Ladder of Causation CHAPTER 2 From Buccaneers to Guinea Pigs: The Genesis of Causal Inference CHAPTER 3 From Evidence to Causes: Reverend Bayes Meets Mr. Holmes CHAPTER 4 Confounding and Deconfounding: Or, Slaying the Lurking Variable CHAPTER 5 The Smoke-Filled Debate: Clearing the Air CHAPTER 6 Paradoxes Galore! CHAPTER 7 Beyond Adjustment: The Conquest of Mount Intervention CHAPTER 8 Counterfactuals: Mining Worlds That Could Have Been CHAPTER 9 Mediation: The Search for a Mechanism CHAPTER 10 Big Data, Artificial Intelligence, and the Big Questions Acknowledgments About the Authors Also by Judea Pearl Notes Bibliography Index
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